Yazar "Karimi, Mohammad Sharif" seçeneğine göre listele

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    Asymmetric effects of real exchange rate on inbound tourist arrivals in Malaysia: An analysis of price rigidity
    (Wiley, 2019) Karimi, Mohammad Sharif; Khan, Ashfaq Ahmad; Karamelikli, Huseyin
    Present research is sought to analyse asymmetrical effects of exchange rates and income of tourists on tourist arrivals in Malaysia. A non-linear model has been formulated to examine symmetrical and asymmetrical effects of exchange rate quarterly data from year 2000 to 2017. Results have revealed that both depreciation and appreciation of domestic currency value lead to a decrease in number of inbound tourist arrivals at long run. Moreover, it is found that price rigidity in Malaysian tourism sector may influence decision of tourists to select alternative destination. Besides, reduction in the real-effective exchange rate does not have adverse effect in the long run.
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    Asymmetric relationship between interest rates and exchange rates: Evidence from Turkey
    (Wiley, 2022) Karamelikli, Huseyin; Karimi, Mohammad Sharif
    This paper deals with the dynamic relationship between the interest rate and exchange rate using the data from the Turkish economy. Macroeconomic variables possess both asymmetric and non-linear features; however, most of the empirical research relating to the dynamics of the exchange rate has been conducted only within a linear framework. Therefore, in this paper, a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model is used to explore asymmetrical relations in the long-run. The pieces of evidence provided in this article show that an increase in the domestic interest rate has a more robust effect on the exchange rate compared to a decrease of the interest rate. The results further indicate that the impact of the domestic interest rate in the short-run is different from their long-run effects. The linear models which neglect asymmetric relation can yield misleading results by showing no relationship between the two variables in the long-run. This paper shows that there is a robust and stable but asymmetric relationship between the interest rate and exchange rate in the long-run.
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    Impact of an economic development plan on regional disparities in Iran
    (Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2020) Karimi, Mohammad Sharif; Karamelikli, Huseyin; Heidarian, Maryam
    This research develops a new multidimensional regional development and quality-of-life index for the provinces of Iran and uses it to examine the evolution of regional disparities during the 4th and 5th Five Year Plans. The new multidimensional development indicator involves the use of the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) and Shannon entropy to rank provinces and explore their trajectories. Although balanced and fair regional development is one primary objective of Iranian five-year plans, the results show that while all provinces have made progress, the two development plans have done little to diminish provincial development gaps, creating the need for a new targeted growth-pole strategy.
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    Is terrorism a real threat to tourism development? Analysis of inbound and domestic tourist arrivals in Turkey
    (Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2020) Karamelikli, Huseyin; Khan, Ashfak Ahmad; Karimi, Mohammad Sharif
    This study estimates the long-run and short-run impact of terrorist incidents on inbound and domestic tourist arrivals in Turkey by using a non-linear autoregressive lag (NARDL) model for the period between 2007 and 2016. The results reveal unidirectional nonlinear relationships from terrorism to tourism in both the long-run and short run. Inbound and domestic tourists show different respond towards an increase or decrease in terrorist incidents. The findings are expected to help tourism management, planning, and forecasting regarding greater economic benefits for the country. We suggest that improving security measures and effective safety procedures in tourist areas can reduce terrorist incidents in the future.
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    The role of tourism in driving economic growth: An asymmetric augmented autoregressive distributed lag analysis of Singapore's experience
    (Wiley, 2024) Karimi, Mohammad Sharif; Karamelikli, Huseyin; Naysary, Babak
    Tourism has long been recognized as a potential force for economic growth in various parts of the globe. This study revisits this causal relationship to demonstrate the consequences of long-run and short-run effects between tourism development and economic growth in the context of Singapore for the period 1983:1 to 2020:4. We employ an augmented autoregressive distributed lag (AARDL) to prevent degenerative results and ensure the robustness of findings. We also control for variables such as foreign direct investment, net export, gross fixed capital formation, labor, and government expenditure. The overall empirical results provide support for the positive implications of tourism development for economic growth in Singapore in the long run, and its elasticity is 0.14 in increasing and 0.08 in decreasing. This implies that tourism can be one of the important factors for Singapore's economic growth in the long run, but in the short run, the impact is either negative or insignificant. This study provides important policy implications and recommendations.