Recent land-use and land-cover changes and its driving factors in a fire-prone area of southwestern Turkey

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dc.authoridMORENO, JOSE MANUEL/0000-0002-3729-9523
dc.authoridViedma, Olga/0000-0003-4614-3827
dc.authoridGUNGOROGLU, CUMHUR/0000-0003-3932-3205
dc.contributor.authorViedma, Olga
dc.contributor.authorMoreno, Jose M.
dc.contributor.authorGungoroglu, Cumhur
dc.contributor.authorCosgun, Ufuk
dc.contributor.authorKavgaci, Ali
dc.date.accessioned2024-09-29T15:57:31Z
dc.date.available2024-09-29T15:57:31Z
dc.date.issued2017
dc.departmentKarabük Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractDuring the last decades, contrasted trends in forest fires among countries around the Mediterranean basin have been observed. In the northern/western countries, Land Use-Land Cover (LULC) changes led to more hazardous landscapes, with consequent increases in fires. This contrasted with fire trends in southern/eastern countries. The recent incidence of large fires in some of the latter prompted the question of whether they are now following the path of their neighbors decades earlier. In this study, we investigated recent LULC changes in southwestern Turkey, focusing on those that could affect fire, and the factors driving them. To this end, LULC maps at different time steps (1975,1990, 2000 and 2010) were obtained from Landsat images, together with relevant socioeconomic data. Generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) were applied to assess the effects of socioeconomic and geophysical factors on the dominant LULC changes over time. Over the whole period studied, the most important LULC changes were deforestation followed by afforestation. Deforestation was positively related to high livestock density and proximity to villages and increased forest interfaces with other LULC types. We found no evidence that LULC changes were making the landscape more hazardous as there was a net decrease in fuels biomass and the landscape became more fragmented over time. However, despite the area being heavily used and relatively fragmented, large fires can occur driven by severe weather. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipEuropean Union's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7), Project FUME [243888]en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThe research leading to these results received funding from the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013), Project FUME, grant agreement no. 243888. The authors would like to thank I.R. Urbieta for her fruitful comments on this work.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.02.074
dc.identifier.endpage731en_US
dc.identifier.issn0301-4797
dc.identifier.issn1095-8630
dc.identifier.pmid28448809en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85018580661en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1en_US
dc.identifier.startpage719en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.02.074
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14619/4850
dc.identifier.volume197en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000401880100068en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakPubMeden_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherAcademic Press Ltd- Elsevier Science Ltden_US
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Environmental Managementen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectFire risken_US
dc.subjectFire hazarden_US
dc.subjectForest lossesen_US
dc.subjectLand-use land-cover changesen_US
dc.subjectMultilevel modelsen_US
dc.subjectStationarityen_US
dc.titleRecent land-use and land-cover changes and its driving factors in a fire-prone area of southwestern Turkeyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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