Investigation of provincial capacity to produce biogas from waste disposal sites in Turkey

dc.contributor.authorCan, Ali
dc.date.accessioned2024-09-29T15:55:20Z
dc.date.available2024-09-29T15:55:20Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.departmentKarabük Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractThe main aim of this study is to determine the theoretical capacities of waste disposal sites to produce biogas and electricity in Turkey in 81 provinces by using the First Order Decay (FOD) methodology. The population data of each province starting from 1950 to 2020 was used as time series to estimate the best fit model. The same model was also used for the future population estimations until the year 2080. The provinces have different characteristics. The big provinces in Turkey are best fitted with polynomial models. For 38 provinces the best fit models are third order polynomials, and for 10 provinces the second order polynomials are best fitted. The exponential and linear models are good for 15 and 13 provinces, respectively. Many statistical and model performance studies are done for increasing the accuracy level of this study. The results of this study have shown that the best fitted model is acceptable at province level although there are small differences between observed and fitted values. The CH4 emission potential of disposal sites are calculated as 273 thousand tonnes in 1950. This has increased and reached 1.2 million tonnes in 2020. It is projected that it will reach 3.1 million tonnes in 2080. The methane production capacity in Marmara and Central Anatolia regions is calculated as 46% of total capacity. In 2020 these two regions have 1.7 and 0.9 million kW-hr/year electricity production capacity, respectively. The highest provincial capacity of electricity production is observed in Istanbul, Ankara, Izmir, Bursa and Antalya with respective values of 1.02, 0.37, 0.29, 0.20 and 0.16 million kW-hr/year. These top five provinces constitute 37% of Turkey's total capacity. The results of this study have shown that approximately 4.8-7.4% of GHG emissions can be stopped by using CH4 produced in waste disposal sites in energy production. Further usage of methane instead of solid fuels or other non-renewable fuels will decrease the total GHG emissions an extra 2-3.5%. In 2020, 35 million tonnes of CO2 eq. emissions can be reduced in Turkey due to biogas production in waste disposal sites. This is very important from the Climate Change point of view.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.energy.2022.124778
dc.identifier.issn0360-5442
dc.identifier.issn1873-6785
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85135861076en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.124778
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14619/4601
dc.identifier.volume258en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000874777700004en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherPergamon-Elsevier Science Ltden_US
dc.relation.ispartofEnergyen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectElectricity productionen_US
dc.subjectBiogasen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectFirst order decay (FOD)en_US
dc.titleInvestigation of provincial capacity to produce biogas from waste disposal sites in Turkeyen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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