On the asymmetric effects of exchange rate uncertainty on China's bilateral trade with its major partners

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2022

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Elsevier

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

Following recent advances in asymmetric impact of exchange rate volatility on trade flows, we assess the symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rate volatility on China's bilateral trade with each of its 21 trading partners. We find symmetric effects in only a few bilateral trade models. However, the asymmetric analysis which required using nonlinear models revealed short-run asymmetric effects in almost all export and import demand models and log-run significant asymmetric effects in 50% of the models. In almost all models, while increased volatility was found to hurt Chinese trade, decreased volatility was found to boost them, implying that stable exchange rate is beneficial for China's trade.(c) 2021 Economic Society of Australia, Queensland. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Exchange rate uncertainty, China, 15 partners, Trade, Asymmetric analysis

Kaynak

Economic Analysis and Policy

WoS Q Değeri

Q1

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

73

Sayı

Künye